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Life Expectancy Could Increase In 35 Countries

Life Expectancy Could Increase In 35 Countries

A baby girl born in 2030 can expect to live 6.6 years longer in South Korea, 4.7 years longer in Slovenia, and 4.4 years longer in Portugal than a baby girl born in 2010.

"If you have good insurance and you live on the East Coast and the West Coast, you probably get the best health care in the world", he added. In the United States, the estimate is slightly lower: 79.5 years for men and 83.3 years for women. Ezzati is a professor at Imperial College London's School of Public Health in England. Scientists predict that in less than 15 years, the average life expectancy is going to be 90.

"Not only does the US have high and rising health inequalities, but also life expectancy has stagnated or even declined in some population subgroups", the study says.

South Korea landed in the top spot because of factors such as improved childhood and adolescent nutrition, advances in medical technologies and access to healthcare.

They developed 21 models to predict life expectancy in 35 developed countries - unlike most life expectancy projections which are based on a single model - and combined the results from these models based on how well they performed.

Next-highest in 2030 for women is France (88.6) and Japan (88.4); for men it is Australia and Switzerland (both 84).

They note the US also has the highest homicide rate, the highest rates for obesity and overweight, and the highest rates of mother and child deaths of all high-income nations.




Countries are listed by median projected increase in life expectancy, largest to smallest, from 2010 to 2030. This places them at 14th in the table of 35 countries.

Women, meanwhile, are predicted to have a life expectancy of 85.3 years - a 2.8-year gap. The report has been published in The Lancet. They discovered that while the last few generations enjoyed the greatest climb in life expectancy, males still trailed behind females in this matter. They smoked and drank more, and had more road traffic accidents and homicides.

Less healthy lifestyles among men, such as higher smoking rates and more alcohol consumption, have already put women at an advantage when it comes to living well into old age, the researchers say. The research showed that the USA will be registering the lowest life expectancy of rich countries by 2030 with an average of 80 years for men and 83 for women. These ages are similar to middle-income countries such as Croatia and Mexico.

The researchers explain that the next step of their research will be to extend their model to specific diseases as well as to all countries to provide more accurate predictions of life expectancy globally.

But the US is predicted to have the lowest among high-income countries, 80 for boys and 83 for girls.

Sharing their findings, Ezzati said, "The biggest result is that.at least one group is going to break the 90-year barrier".

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